Syllabus

Title
6219 Topics in Forecasting, Empirical Macroeconomics and Machine Learning
Instructors
Assist.Prof. Philippe Goulet Coulombe
Type
FS
Weekly hours
2
Language of instruction
Englisch
Registration
02/10/26 to 02/22/26
Registration via LPIS
Notes to the course
Subject(s) Doctoral/PhD Programs
Research Seminar in Main Subject I - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject I - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject II - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject II - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject III - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject III - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject IV - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject IV - Empirical Business Research
Dissertation-relevant theories - Economics
Dissertation-relevant theories - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar - Economics
Research Seminar - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar - Economics
Research Seminar - Empirical Business Research
Interdisciplinary Research Seminar
Research Seminar - Participating in scientific discourse I
Research Seminar - Participating in scientific discourse II
Research Seminar in Main Subject I - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject I - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject II - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject II - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject III - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject III - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject IV - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject IV - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject V - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject V - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Main Subject VI - Economics
Research Seminar in Main Subject VI - Empirical Business Research
Research Seminar in Secondary Subject - Economics
Research Seminar in Secondary Subject - Empirical Business Research
Dates
Day Date Time Room
Monday 04/20/26 02:00 PM - 06:00 PM D2.0.330
Tuesday 04/21/26 10:00 AM - 01:00 PM TC.5.27
Tuesday 04/21/26 02:00 PM - 06:00 PM TC.5.05
Wednesday 04/22/26 10:00 AM - 01:00 PM TC.5.27
Wednesday 04/22/26 02:00 PM - 05:00 PM TC.2.03
Thursday 04/23/26 10:00 AM - 01:00 PM TC.5.27
Thursday 04/23/26 02:00 PM - 05:00 PM TC.5.15
Monday 04/27/26 10:00 AM - 01:00 PM TC.5.01
Monday 04/27/26 02:00 PM - 05:00 PM TC.5.13
Contents

Successful deployment of Machine Learning (ML) across the sciences calls for both a solid grasp of algorithms and a deep understanding of the application domain. This course brings those elements together in the context of empirical macroeconomic analysis. It pursues two objectives. The first is to give researchers and practitioners the practical skills needed to work with modern ML methods on macroeconomic data—a capability now in demand across academia, industry, and policy. The second is to cultivate the mindset and intuition required to adapt or design algorithms for the unique challenges posed by macroeconomic applications.

 We begin with core ML concepts and foundational ideas, then progress through classical and modern techniques—from regularized linear models to the architecture of large language models. Emphasis is placed not just on how these tools operate, but on the contexts in which they are most effective. The course devotes particular attention to recent innovations tailored to macroeconomics, including forecasting, latent state extraction, interpretability, density prediction, and other central tasks in applied time-series econometrics.Topics

 Topics

1.       Introduction to Machine Learning 

2.       Regularized Linear Models

3.       Kernel Methods

4.      Tree-Based Models

5.       Basic Neural Networks (NNs)

6.       Advanced Neural Networks Topics

7.       Uncertainty Quantification

8.       Interpretability

9.       Causality and Impulse Response Functions

10.   Macroeconomic Applications

Learning outcomes

By the end of the course, students will be able to:

·       apply core and modern ML methods to empirical data, including forecasting, latent-state extraction, and interpretability tools,

·       evaluate, implement, and adapt ML algorithms—ranging from regularized linear models to large-scale architectures,

·       critically assess empirical research that employs machine learning, with attention to model design, interpretability, and methodological suitability.

Attendance requirements

Attendance is mandatory.

Teaching/learning method(s)

The first part of the course consists of frontal lectures introducing key topics in ML for empirical (macroeconomic) analysis, while the end of the course features student presentations, discussion, and an exercise sheet illustrating the implementation and use of the methods covered in the lectures.

Assessment

Attendance and proactive participation (20%), presentation of own research or replication of a relevant research paper (50%), exercise sheet (30%).

Readings

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Recommended previous knowledge and skills

The course is suitable for students with prior training in macroeconomics and econometrics at the master’s level and with coding experience in Python, R, or Matlab.

Availability of lecturer(s)

By appointment.

Other

Courses Material on Canvas (to be updated )

Last edited: 2025-12-10



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